Ash Flat, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sharp County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 61° Low 37° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 41° | 0% |
| The average | 61° | 37° | 0% |
High 49° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 30° | 0% |
High 50° Low 27° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 27° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 29° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 24° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 27° | 0% |
High 53° Low 31° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 30° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 34° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 33° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 30° | 4% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 28° | 11% |
| The average | 53° | 31° | 6% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.