Minority Report

Asheboro, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Randolph County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 45°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)68°46°27%
European model (ECMWF)68°48°14%
German model (ICON)68°43°25%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°10%
The average68°45°15%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°10%
US model (GFS)54°37°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°6%
German model (ICON)56°35°10%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°0%
The average55°38°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°3%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°35°0%
The average51°33°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°0%
The average54°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.