Asheville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Buncombe County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 40° Rain 30%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 33° | 30% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 41° | 25% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 43° | 31% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 42° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 38° | 24% |
| The average | 55° | 40° | 30% |
High 43° Low 34° Rain 17%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 21% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 20% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 35° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 35° | 19% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 17% |
High 40° Low 30° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 25° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 28° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 32° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 40° | 30° | 2% |
High 49° Low 26° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 27° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 27° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 18° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 26° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.