Minority Report

Ashland, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 36%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)65°46°30%
European model (ECMWF)66°49°76%
German model (ICON)64°47°5%
Canadian model (GEM)64°50°71%
The average65°46°36%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)50°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°0%
The average51°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°0%
The average52°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°2%
US model (GFS)56°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average55°33°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.