Minority Report

Ashland City, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cheatham County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)62°41°15%
European model (ECMWF)61°42°35%
German model (ICON)60°41°28%
Canadian model (GEM)61°41°19%
The average61°39°19%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°1%
US model (GFS)45°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°0%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°0%
The average47°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°0%
The average51°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°1%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°24°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.