Minority Report

Ashland, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)67°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°44°0%
German model (ICON)67°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°36°0%
The average66°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°3%
US model (GFS)55°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average55°35°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°96%
US model (GFS)55°32°85%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°100%
German model (ICON)52°36°83%
Canadian model (GEM)51°33°97%
The average51°35°92%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 39°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 87%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°35°54%
US model (GFS)45°41°92%
European model (ECMWF)45°41°100%
German model (ICON)43°40°91%
Canadian model (GEM)42°38°100%
The average44°39°87%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.