Minority Report

Ashland, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ashland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 40°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 0°, rain spread 21 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 95%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°79%
US model (GFS)47°41°98%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°41°100%
The average47°40°95%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°31°73%
US model (GFS)42°34°49%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°73%
German model (ICON)42°35°58%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°86%
The average42°33°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°31°9%
US model (GFS)41°32°9%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°38%
German model (ICON)42°29°20%
Canadian model (GEM)38°27°49%
The average41°30°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°2%
US model (GFS)44°38°3%
European model (ECMWF)42°37°4%
German model (ICON)47°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°2%
The average44°34°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.