Minority Report

Ashland, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ashland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 34°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 85 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 42%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°21%
US model (GFS)38°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)37°34°86%
German model (ICON)38°35°48%
Canadian model (GEM)38°36°52%
The average38°34°42%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°28°9%
US model (GFS)35°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)36°31°12%
German model (ICON)36°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°0%
The average37°32°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°0%
US model (GFS)43°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°27°0%
German model (ICON)43°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°18°0%
The average42°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
German model (ICON)49°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°16°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.