Minority Report

Ashley, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McIntosh County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 36°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)37°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)36°27°0%
German model (ICON)35°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°20°0%
The average36°24°0%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°21°0%
US model (GFS)33°20°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°26°0%
German model (ICON)37°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°19°0%
The average37°22°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°27°0%
US model (GFS)44°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)42°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average41°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°0%
US model (GFS)53°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.