Minority Report

Aspermont, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stonewall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)76°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°46°0%
German model (ICON)75°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°45°0%
The average75°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 48°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°49°3%
US model (GFS)68°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°0%
German model (ICON)64°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°43°0%
The average67°48°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 48°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 86%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°50°84%
US model (GFS)63°44°79%
European model (ECMWF)57°48°98%
German model (ICON)57°49°95%
Canadian model (GEM)60°48°76%
The average59°48°86%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 17°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 74%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°43°45%
US model (GFS)71°48°79%
European model (ECMWF)55°46°94%
German model (ICON)54°44°78%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°73%
The average60°45°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.