Minority Report

Astoria, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clatsop County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 53°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 98 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 29%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°100%
US model (GFS)63°54°15%
European model (ECMWF)65°54°11%
German model (ICON)61°53°18%
Canadian model (GEM)59°54°2%
The average62°53°29%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 51°   Rain 98%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°49°100%
US model (GFS)56°48°90%
European model (ECMWF)61°52°100%
German model (ICON)57°53°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°52°100%
The average58°51°98%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 50°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°50°100%
US model (GFS)56°48°100%
European model (ECMWF)57°51°100%
German model (ICON)56°52°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°51°99%
The average57°50°100%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 46°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°45°98%
US model (GFS)54°45°100%
European model (ECMWF)54°45°100%
German model (ICON)56°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°49°100%
The average55°46°100%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.