Minority Report

Athens, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Athens County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 41°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°78%
US model (GFS)50°43°66%
European model (ECMWF)52°43°100%
German model (ICON)52°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°100%
The average51°41°88%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 82 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°18%
US model (GFS)45°36°63%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°100%
German model (ICON)44°35°75%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°89%
The average46°35°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°0%
US model (GFS)44°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°4%
German model (ICON)44°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°25%
The average45°32°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°2%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°0%
The average46°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.