Minority Report

Athens, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McMinn County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 88 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 66%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°12%
US model (GFS)59°46°37%
European model (ECMWF)60°49°89%
German model (ICON)58°46°90%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°100%
The average59°44°66%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 16%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°9%
US model (GFS)48°38°5%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°39%
German model (ICON)49°39°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°22%
The average48°37°16%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°1%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°11%
The average49°32°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°1%
US model (GFS)53°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.