Minority Report

Atlanta, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montmorency County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°49%
US model (GFS)42°34°74%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°95%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°95%
The average42°33°83%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 31°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 33%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°30°56%
US model (GFS)36°32°22%
European model (ECMWF)38°31°18%
German model (ICON)36°32°40%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°31%
The average37°31°33%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 14%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°10%
US model (GFS)41°33°6%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°18%
German model (ICON)42°32°25%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°10%
The average41°32°14%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°0%
US model (GFS)40°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°2%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average42°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.