Minority Report

Atoka, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Atoka County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)72°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°48°0%
German model (ICON)72°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°46°0%
The average71°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°40°1%
US model (GFS)60°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°44°0%
German model (ICON)61°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°0%
The average60°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 35%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°41°52%
US model (GFS)60°38°20%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°58%
German model (ICON)56°35°34%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°12%
The average58°39°35%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 41°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°41°89%
US model (GFS)52°41°83%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°96%
German model (ICON)48°42°93%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°92%
The average50°41°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.