Minority Report

Auburn, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Placer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 48°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°25%
US model (GFS)75°53°3%
European model (ECMWF)76°48°0%
German model (ICON)74°43°13%
Canadian model (GEM)74°47°14%
The average75°48°11%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 48°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°44°99%
US model (GFS)57°49°100%
European model (ECMWF)58°49°100%
German model (ICON)60°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)58°48°100%
The average58°48°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 41%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°43°6%
US model (GFS)58°47°31%
European model (ECMWF)60°42°45%
German model (ICON)60°47°40%
Canadian model (GEM)60°44°82%
The average59°44°41%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°47°91%
US model (GFS)62°47°87%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°95%
German model (ICON)55°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°82%
The average60°45°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.