Minority Report

Auburn, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of DeKalb County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 38°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°41%
US model (GFS)47°40°68%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°96%
The average47°38°76%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 31°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 25%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°17%
US model (GFS)40°32°14%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°49%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°20%
The average41°31°25%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°9%
US model (GFS)44°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°0%
The average45°30°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°12%
US model (GFS)46°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°0%
The average46°32°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.