Minority Report

Augusta, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kennebec County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°36%
US model (GFS)42°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°2%
German model (ICON)42°32°13%
Canadian model (GEM)45°31°14%
The average43°32°15%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 8%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°18%
US model (GFS)42°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°4%
German model (ICON)42°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°0%
The average43°31°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°3%
US model (GFS)43°32°8%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°25%
German model (ICON)43°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°10%
The average43°31°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°2%
US model (GFS)44°29°8%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°2%
German model (ICON)45°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°10%
The average45°31°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.