Minority Report

Bagley, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clearwater County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35°   Low 23°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—19°0%
US model (GFS)35°26°4%
European model (ECMWF)34°28°0%
German model (ICON)34°27°3%
Canadian model (GEM)36°16°0%
The average35°23°1%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 19°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°19°0%
US model (GFS)32°20°0%
European model (ECMWF)36°24°0%
German model (ICON)34°20°0%
Canadian model (GEM)36°12°0%
The average35°19°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°23°0%
US model (GFS)42°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°25°0%
German model (ICON)41°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°17°0%
The average41°22°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°0%
US model (GFS)46°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°21°0%
The average47°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.