Minority Report

Baker City, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Baker County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)62°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)60°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°41°0%
The average59°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 40°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°76%
US model (GFS)58°42°42%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°90%
German model (ICON)59°44°35%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°26%
The average57°40°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°12%
US model (GFS)50°36°39%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°51%
German model (ICON)53°39°23%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°21%
The average53°36°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 78%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°74%
US model (GFS)50°39°66%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°76%
German model (ICON)45°41°85%
Canadian model (GEM)50°33°90%
The average49°36°78%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.