Minority Report

Baker, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fallon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°0%
The average50°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°0%
US model (GFS)41°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°0%
The average47°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°0%
The average54°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)57°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)56°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average57°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.