Bakersfield, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kern County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 86° Low 51° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 54° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 87° | 48° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 84° | 49° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 86° | 59° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 87° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 86° | 51° | 1% |
High 73° Low 53° Rain 86%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 72° | 52° | 89% |
| US model (GFS) | 73° | 55° | 69% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 54° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 73° | 52° | 83% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 75° | 50° | 87% |
| The average | 73° | 53° | 86% |
High 66° Low 49° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 47° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 52° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 65° | 51° | 67% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 51° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 44° | 57% |
| The average | 66° | 49° | 31% |
High 70° Low 47° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 69° | 50° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 70° | 51° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 46° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 70° | 49° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 39° | 0% |
| The average | 70° | 47° | 6% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.