Bakersville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mitchell County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 51° Low 38° Rain 75%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 39° | 56% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 40° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 39° | 100% |
| The average | 51° | 38° | 75% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 60%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 26° | 57% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 34° | 43% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 35° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 72% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 60% |
High 37° Low 27° Rain 32%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 88 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 23° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 24° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 28° | 91% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 32° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 29° | 19% |
| The average | 37° | 27° | 32% |
High 44° Low 26° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 23° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 26° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.