Minority Report

Ballinger, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Runnels County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)76°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°49°0%
German model (ICON)74°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°46°0%
The average74°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 47°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°50°3%
US model (GFS)74°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°49°0%
German model (ICON)72°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°43°0%
The average72°47°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 51°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 75%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°54°73%
US model (GFS)63°49°59%
European model (ECMWF)63°52°100%
German model (ICON)60°54°95%
Canadian model (GEM)71°49°48%
The average64°51°75%

Sunday, November 15

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 63%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°35%
US model (GFS)73°53°57%
European model (ECMWF)64°51°96%
German model (ICON)70°49°81%
Canadian model (GEM)70°46°44%
The average68°49°63%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.