Minority Report

Baltimore, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Baltimore city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 48°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 87 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 64%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°11%
US model (GFS)62°46°42%
European model (ECMWF)63°51°98%
German model (ICON)62°51°98%
Canadian model (GEM)65°48°71%
The average63°48°64%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 39°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°36°36%
US model (GFS)47°38°34%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°78%
German model (ICON)51°39°43%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°76%
The average49°39°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 14%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°6%
US model (GFS)49°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°12%
German model (ICON)50°36°15%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°35%
The average49°36°14%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°0%
US model (GFS)50°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°42°0%
German model (ICON)52°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°0%
The average51°40°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.