Minority Report

Barbourville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Knox County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°47%
US model (GFS)54°44°89%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°100%
German model (ICON)55°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°43°100%
The average55°42°87%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 72%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°67%
US model (GFS)44°34°68%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°98%
German model (ICON)44°39°55%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°71%
The average44°35°72%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°13%
US model (GFS)45°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°65%
German model (ICON)45°34°30%
Canadian model (GEM)41°26°16%
The average44°30°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°22°0%
The average50°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.