Minority Report

Barceloneta Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barceloneta Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 91°   Low 73°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 50%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—73°0%
US model (GFS)91°76°100%
European model (ECMWF)89°72°83%
German model (ICON)94°73°55%
Canadian model (GEM)92°73°11%
The average91°73°50%

Friday, November 13

High 91°   Low 77°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°73°10%
US model (GFS)90°77°0%
European model (ECMWF)90°79°6%
German model (ICON)94°80°3%
Canadian model (GEM)90°76°5%
The average91°77°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 91°   Low 77°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 24%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°72°40%
US model (GFS)90°78°3%
European model (ECMWF)89°78°56%
German model (ICON)94°81°5%
Canadian model (GEM)91°76°14%
The average91°77°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 90°   Low 75°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°72°13%
US model (GFS)89°76°3%
European model (ECMWF)86°76°10%
German model (ICON)94°77°10%
Canadian model (GEM)88°74°0%
The average90°75°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.