Minority Report

Barnstable, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barnstable County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 45°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°100%
US model (GFS)56°42°100%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°98%
German model (ICON)55°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°45°100%
The average56°45°100%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 43°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 86%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°41°73%
US model (GFS)46°42°73%
European model (ECMWF)47°45°97%
German model (ICON)48°45°88%
Canadian model (GEM)48°45°100%
The average48°43°86%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 25%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°38°23%
US model (GFS)46°40°10%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°25%
German model (ICON)45°40°28%
Canadian model (GEM)46°40°37%
The average46°40°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°38°6%
US model (GFS)47°38°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°2%
German model (ICON)47°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°39°0%
The average48°38°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.