Minority Report

Barron, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barron County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 29°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°3%
US model (GFS)36°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)36°32°65%
German model (ICON)36°29°58%
Canadian model (GEM)39°30°24%
The average37°29°31%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°22°0%
US model (GFS)35°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)35°28°0%
German model (ICON)38°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°21°0%
The average37°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°24°0%
US model (GFS)42°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)41°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°17°0%
The average41°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°27°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)45°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°12°0%
The average44°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.