Minority Report

Bartow, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Polk County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 64°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—61°16%
US model (GFS)76°65°10%
European model (ECMWF)77°66°18%
German model (ICON)77°66°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°64°11%
The average76°64°11%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 55°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°48°0%
US model (GFS)70°55°11%
European model (ECMWF)71°61°2%
German model (ICON)71°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°53°0%
The average71°55°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°0%
US model (GFS)63°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°50°0%
German model (ICON)62°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°46°0%
The average63°47°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 72°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°56°1%
US model (GFS)72°51°1%
European model (ECMWF)71°52°0%
German model (ICON)70°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°46°0%
The average72°51°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.