Minority Report

Bastrop, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morehouse Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)74°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°52°0%
German model (ICON)73°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°52°0%
The average73°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°0%
US model (GFS)59°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°0%
German model (ICON)58°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°39°0%
The average59°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°1%
US model (GFS)59°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°0%
German model (ICON)58°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°33°0%
The average57°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 49%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°39°35%
US model (GFS)64°42°44%
European model (ECMWF)56°43°61%
German model (ICON)58°40°67%
Canadian model (GEM)58°39°40%
The average58°40°49%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.