Batavia, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Genesee County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 35° Rain 76%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 90 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 73% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 37° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 35° | 76% |
High 38° Low 33° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 30° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 33° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 36° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 34° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 34° | 39% |
| The average | 38° | 33° | 30% |
High 40° Low 34° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 33° | 56% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 33° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 76% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 33° | 81% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 34° | 90% |
| The average | 40° | 34° | 72% |
High 40° Low 34° Rain 44%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 32° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 34° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 35° | 70% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 36° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 34° | 18% |
| The average | 40° | 34° | 44% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.