Minority Report

Batavia, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clermont County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 41°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 61%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°67%
US model (GFS)53°40°36%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°53%
German model (ICON)52°42°55%
Canadian model (GEM)54°41°95%
The average53°41°61%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°33%
US model (GFS)44°34°42%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°75%
German model (ICON)45°36°58%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°67%
The average44°35°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°5%
The average46°32°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°0%
US model (GFS)48°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°2%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°0%
The average48°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.