Minority Report

Bath, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sagadahoc County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 40 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°42%
US model (GFS)45°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°2%
German model (ICON)44°36°18%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°3%
The average45°34°15%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 22%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°29%
US model (GFS)42°32°15%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°13%
German model (ICON)43°36°35%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°19%
The average44°33°22%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°4%
US model (GFS)44°32°5%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°14%
German model (ICON)44°35°1%
Canadian model (GEM)44°29°0%
The average44°31°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°2%
US model (GFS)45°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°4%
German model (ICON)46°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°6%
The average46°33°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.