Minority Report

Baton Rouge, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of East Baton Rouge Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°51°0%
The average76°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°39°0%
US model (GFS)69°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)68°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°47°0%
The average69°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°42°0%
US model (GFS)65°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°1%
German model (ICON)64°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°44°0%
The average63°41°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 40%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°48°55%
US model (GFS)64°49°31%
European model (ECMWF)63°47°61%
German model (ICON)66°42°37%
Canadian model (GEM)65°45°14%
The average65°46°40%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.