Minority Report

Battle Mountain, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lander County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)66°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°37°0%
German model (ICON)63°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°20°0%
The average63°27°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 34°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°29°97%
US model (GFS)64°38°71%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°100%
German model (ICON)63°33°98%
Canadian model (GEM)63°28°95%
The average63°34°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°37°14%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°59%
German model (ICON)49°35°23%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°48%
The average50°31°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 6%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°21%
US model (GFS)54°43°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°6%
Canadian model (GEM)56°23°0%
The average55°33°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.