Bay City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Matagorda County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 77° Low 55° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 51° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 56° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 60° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 57° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 75° | 51° | 5% |
| The average | 77° | 55° | 1% |
High 77° Low 51° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 54° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 79° | 52° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 53° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 52° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 78° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 77° | 51° | 0% |
High 72° Low 57° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 70° | 60° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 70° | 57° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 72° | 59° | 41% |
| German model (ICON) | 69° | 56° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 51° | 5% |
| The average | 72° | 57° | 28% |
High 74° Low 60° Rain 79%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 72° | 57° | 71% |
| US model (GFS) | 74° | 64° | 56% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 72° | 62° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 58° | 91% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 78° | 60° | 86% |
| The average | 74° | 60° | 79% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.