Minority Report

Bayboro, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pamlico County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 49°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°14%
US model (GFS)73°49°18%
European model (ECMWF)73°51°16%
German model (ICON)74°55°5%
Canadian model (GEM)74°48°0%
The average74°49°11%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°37°20%
US model (GFS)59°44°2%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°10%
German model (ICON)60°45°15%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°3%
The average60°43°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°10%
German model (ICON)54°38°10%
Canadian model (GEM)54°39°10%
The average54°37°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°36°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average56°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.