Minority Report

Beaumont, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)79°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°59°0%
German model (ICON)78°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°53°0%
The average78°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°49°0%
US model (GFS)74°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°54°0%
German model (ICON)72°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°47°0%
The average73°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 48°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°50°4%
US model (GFS)66°46°1%
European model (ECMWF)63°50°14%
German model (ICON)63°45°7%
Canadian model (GEM)66°49°0%
The average65°48°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 66°   Low 52°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 75%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°50°76%
US model (GFS)70°55°61%
European model (ECMWF)61°53°88%
German model (ICON)61°53°73%
Canadian model (GEM)71°50°78%
The average66°52°75%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.