Minority Report

Beaver City, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Furnas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°1%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average54°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average49°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 16%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°24%
US model (GFS)50°29°6%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°8%
German model (ICON)48°30°16%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°28%
The average47°32°16%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 19%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°12%
US model (GFS)43°40°16%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°12%
German model (ICON)47°36°23%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°33%
The average48°36°19%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.