Minority Report

Beaver, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Beaver County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)72°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°42°0%
German model (ICON)70°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°38°0%
The average71°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°2%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°34°0%
The average59°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 37°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°36°96%
US model (GFS)53°33°95%
European model (ECMWF)49°42°100%
German model (ICON)54°37°91%
Canadian model (GEM)52°38°96%
The average52°37°96%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 84%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°39%
US model (GFS)47°41°95%
European model (ECMWF)44°41°100%
German model (ICON)43°41°90%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°96%
The average45°39°84%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.