Minority Report

Beaver, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Beaver County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 77 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 78%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°23%
US model (GFS)50°38°81%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°84%
The average49°40°78%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 16%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°17%
US model (GFS)40°32°10%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°3%
German model (ICON)43°34°35%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°14%
The average43°34°16%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°67%
US model (GFS)42°32°69%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°76%
German model (ICON)42°34°43%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°57%
The average43°34°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°33°29%
US model (GFS)44°38°26%
European model (ECMWF)43°40°45%
German model (ICON)46°39°29%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°57%
The average46°36°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.