Minority Report

Beaver, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Beaver County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°2%
US model (GFS)64°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°31°0%
German model (ICON)63°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°20°0%
The average63°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 72%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°36°97%
US model (GFS)59°41°49%
European model (ECMWF)56°35°75%
German model (ICON)57°46°65%
Canadian model (GEM)57°27°76%
The average57°37°72%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°97%
US model (GFS)44°33°98%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°100%
German model (ICON)46°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°25°100%
The average44°29°99%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°28°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°20°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.