Minority Report

Beckley, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Raleigh County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°71%
US model (GFS)47°39°57%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°100%
German model (ICON)48°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°100%
The average48°37°86%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 79%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°79%
US model (GFS)39°32°40%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°93%
German model (ICON)39°32°85%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°98%
The average40°31°79%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 29°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 46%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°26°36%
US model (GFS)36°27°18%
European model (ECMWF)38°29°54%
German model (ICON)35°31°28%
Canadian model (GEM)34°30°95%
The average36°29°46%

Sunday, November 15

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 6%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°4%
US model (GFS)39°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°6%
German model (ICON)42°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)37°31°19%
The average40°30°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.