Minority Report

Bedford, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Trimble County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°16%
US model (GFS)56°39°32%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°92%
German model (ICON)54°41°50%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°71%
The average54°40°52%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 44%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°43%
US model (GFS)44°34°17%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°77%
German model (ICON)45°34°55%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°29%
The average44°34°44%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°0%
US model (GFS)48°29°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)44°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°5%
The average46°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°21°0%
The average50°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.