Minority Report

Bedford, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bedford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 72%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°28%
US model (GFS)49°40°60%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°98%
German model (ICON)54°41°93%
Canadian model (GEM)50°39°79%
The average52°39°72%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 35%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°25%
US model (GFS)41°32°8%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°45%
German model (ICON)43°34°73%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°24%
The average43°34°35%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 15%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°33°21%
US model (GFS)41°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°16%
German model (ICON)44°33°8%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°15%
The average43°34°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°15%
US model (GFS)43°36°5%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°12%
German model (ICON)46°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°5%
The average45°36°8%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.