Minority Report

Bedford, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bedford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 45°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°3%
US model (GFS)62°45°24%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°57%
German model (ICON)63°46°48%
Canadian model (GEM)65°46°24%
The average63°45°31%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°4%
US model (GFS)51°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°4%
German model (ICON)54°37°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°0%
The average54°37°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)48°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°32°0%
The average49°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°31°0%
The average53°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.