Minority Report

Belle Fourche, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Butte County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°0%
German model (ICON)46°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°33°0%
The average48°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°0%
US model (GFS)47°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°0%
The average50°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°0%
US model (GFS)61°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°0%
German model (ICON)55°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°28°0%
The average57°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°34°0%
US model (GFS)62°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°34°0%
German model (ICON)62°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°28°0%
The average60°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.