Bellefonte, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Centre County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 50° Low 38° Rain 89%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 54% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 39° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 40° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 40° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 41° | 100% |
| The average | 50° | 38° | 89% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 67%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 31° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 35° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 97% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 36° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 36° | 82% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 67% |
High 44° Low 34° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 32° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 33° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 35° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 34° | 11% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 35° | 24% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 10% |
High 44° Low 34° Rain 7%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 29° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 37° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 2% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 15% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 7% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.