Minority Report

Belleville, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Clair County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 37°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)52°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°14%
Canadian model (GEM)52°36°10%
The average52°37°6%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°3%
US model (GFS)45°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°0%
The average44°32°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°24°0%
The average48°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°18°0%
The average52°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.